Andina

Fitch Ratings: Peru's lockdown is better focalized, calibrated

10:04 | New York (U.S.), Feb. 5.

The current lockdown in Peru is better focalized and calibrated because it allows primary productive sectors to continue operating, Director of Latin American Sovereigns at Fitch Ratings Kelli Bissett-Tom has affirmed.

The sanitary confinement measure imposed by the Peruvian Government —from January 31 to February 14 to stop the second coronavirus wave— allows several sectors to continue operating, in a context of gradual economic reactivation.

According to Bissett-Tom, this lockdown is better calibrated, localized, focused on key transmission points and —what is more important— it allows primary sectors such as mining, fishing, agriculture, and forestry to operate in general.

Likewise, she highlighted the future delivery of economic grants (each worth S/600 = US$164) for 4.2 million families residing in the regions under extreme alert, as well as the postponement of tax payment for companies in February, among other measures.

"The broad policy response to support households and businesses —and thus avoid more serious damage to the labor market, particularly in Lima and other urban areas— is more pronounced this time," she told Andina news agency.

Furthermore, the expert said that Peru learned the lesson of the strict confinement measures adopted in the second quarter of 2020.

Growth outlook

On the other hand, the officer pointed out that Fitch Ratings' forecast for Peru's real GDP growth stands at 9% with a downside risk.

This risk comprises two factors —one is composed of renewed and moderate restrictions to stop the coronavirus, such as those currently observed— and the second factor is the temporary political uncertainty during the pre-electoral period that usually delays investment.


(END) MDV/MVB

Published: 2/5/2021