Andina

BCR: Peruvian economy's fundamentals remain sound

Photo: Courtesy

Photo: Courtesy

17:15 | Lima, Feb. 12.

The Central Reserve Bank (BCR) on Friday affirmed that the fundamentals of Peru's economy remain solid, although it admitted that the increase in COVID-19 contagion levels will imply a review of its GDP growth projection for 2021.


The officer highlighted that the restriction measures implemented so far have been targeted and classified according to the risk level existing in each region of the country, which is why they are more limited than those implemented between March and April 2020.

"The restrictive measures that are being observed will obviously have an impact on the economic activity in February, and we should see how it (the economy) evolves in the following months," Armas said.

"Certainly this will lead to a review by the BCR of the GDP growth projection that we would be publishing in the next Inflation Report, in March," he added.

Leading indicators

The BCR official pointed out that the leading indicators moderated their recovery last month.

"For example, in December electricity consumption had been reduced by 0.35%, while it declined by 1.2% in January," he indicated

Likewise, the economist showed that electricity production each time experienced a smaller drop during 2020 —considering that in March it had registered -27.4%, followed by April (-30%), May (-25%), June (-12.4%), July (-5.9%), August (-2.8%), September (-1.9%), October (-0.4%), November (-0.28%), and December (-0.25%). However, it recorded -1.2% in January 2021.

"Domestic cement consumption continues to grow at double-digit rates, but there is a moderation," he said.

Moreover, the BCR official explained that in 2020 domestic cement consumption registered falls in March (-51%), April (-98.6%), May (-65.1%), June (-32.7%), and July (-4.5%). Nonetheless, it registered positive indicators in August (1.3%), September (9.7%), October (11.3%), November (17.7%), and December (21.5%). Yet it merely grew 15.9% in January 2021 —a lower rate compared to the previous month.


(END) CNA/MVB

Published: 2/12/2021