The Multisectoral Commission in Charge of the National Study of El Niño Phenomenon (ENFEN) is on alert and will remain vigilant due to the expected development of a weak-magnitude Coastal La Niña event until the end of the year.
"Since last month, an unusual cooling of the sea and air temperatures has been observed off the coast of Peru, and they are more likely to persist, thus resulting in the development of a weak-magnitude Coastal La Niña event until the end of the year," ENFEN reported in a release.
Regarding the rainy season from December 2020 to March 2021, the Multisectoral Commission estimates that, in the central Pacific, neutral conditions have the highest probability of occurrence (57%), followed by La Niña conditions (29%).
In the Niño 1+2 region, including northern and central Peruvian sea, neutral conditions have the highest probability of occurrence at 64%.
The Coastal La Niña is a weather event in which the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters off the South American coast are cooler than normal.
According to
Peru's Geophysical Institute (IGP), the most recent occurrences of the Coastal La Niña Phenomenon have been reported in 2001 (weak), 2007 (strong), 2010 (moderate), 2013 (strong) and 2017 (strong).
The Multisectoral Commission will continue to monitor and report on the evolution of the conditions. Besides, it will update the perspectives more frequently.
(END) NDP/JOT/RMB/MVB
Published: 8/15/2020