Peru—particularly the northern coast—is already entering a transition phase toward the development of a Coastal El Niño event, expected to begin in March, according to the latest statement issued on February 13, by the
The expert explained that February has shown a gradual warming of sea surface temperatures off the Peruvian coast, a key indicator associated with this climate phenomenon.
"February is a transition month toward this developing El Niño. The intensity of yellow to red shades on the maps reflects sea surface temperatures warming above normal levels, which is directly linked to the occurrence of the event," Escajadillo said in remarks to TV Peru.
The SENAMHI specialist noted that if this trend continues, March would mark a shift into warm conditions within the thresholds considered Coastal El Niño. This situation could extend until November this year, as previously projected by ENFEN.
He said sea warming off the Peruvian coast typically produces significant impacts, particularly heavy rainfall along the northern and central coast, the activation of ravines, mudslides and flooding, as well as disruptions to economic activities such as fishing and agriculture.
As forecast by SENAMHI, moderate to heavy rainfall is expected along the northern coast this week—particularly in Tumbes and Piura regions—likely triggering flooding, the activation of ravines, and other natural events.
Against this backdrop, the specialist emphasized the importance of citizens staying informed exclusively through official sources.
"SENAMHI is the authority responsible for reporting on hydrometeorological hazards, while ENFEN monitors El Niño. We recommend that the population rely exclusively on official information," he indicated.
Escajadillo added that the institution will continue issuing alerts and reports as the event evolves, with the aim of enabling authorities and citizens to take timely preventive measures.
The statements come after the activation of a "Coastal El Niño Alert," which implies a higher likelihood of climate impacts in the coming months, particularly in Peru's coastal regions.