Peru's GDP will expand 3.7% this year if the presidential impeachment does not go through, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) predicted on Monday.
"Our GDP growth projection of 3.7% has not changed. However, this forecast suggests the opposition will not get enough votes to impeach President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski from office," EIU Research Analyst Abhijit Surya expressed.
According to calculations, the opposition (in Congress) has 86 of the 87 votes needed for the
presidential impeachment to go ahead, although there is a high risk that President Kuczynski's continuation in office would be decided by a few votes, he said.
"The opposition may gain votes from APRA, Accion Popular, Alianza para el Progreso members and independent lawmakers, but we cannot rule out further desertions from Fuerza Popular, taking into account 12 members of the Kenji Fujimori group have left the party," he said.
b) The stand of First Vice-President Martin Vizcarra (whether he resigns along with President Kuczynski or not).
(END) MMG/JJN/RMB
Publicado: 19/3/2018